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November 2022 Monthly Outlook - 'Tis the Season'

November 2022 Monthly Outlook - 'Tis the Season'

Halloween just passed and I saw holiday decorations already going up. 

It also ‘Tis the season’ for the best returns in financial markets.  As the chart below shows, November and December have a history of positive returns.  I am hopeful that history holds true this year.

Having said that, the stock market still has some work to do.  October saw another solid rally that was, once again, rejected at a key level.  The chart below shows that the October rally stalled out when it tried to get above 3,900 on the S&P 500 (green box).  That level served as support back in September (blue box). So the question right now is which wins out – the tailwind of positive seasonality or the headwind of strong resistance at 3,900 level.

We are skeptical of rallies and remain defensively positioned to cushion against the possibility of deeper declines.  We will sacrifice the beginning of any move higher for the insurance to not participate in further downside.  When the S&P 500 manages to exceed the 3,900 level we will become more constructive on the recovery.

I hope this report is informative. Please share it with anyone you think would benefit from it.


November Calendar of Events   (comments and additions for future months are always welcome)

November is Long Term Care Awareness Month.   Please reach out to us if you have questions or concerns about your future long term care or that of a loved one
 

REMINDER!              Medicare open enrollment ends on 12/7/22 for coverage starting 1/1/2022 you can switch from original Medicare to Medicare Advantage, or vice versa. You can also switch from one Medicare Advantage plan to another, or from one Medicare Part D (prescription drug) plan to another. Please call us if you have any questions about your options.   

 

November 5th           Daylight Saving - Set those clocks back

November 8th           Election Day  - be sure to vote

November 11th         Veterans Day – says thanks a Vet

November 24th        Thanksgiving – have a wonderful holiday 

 

Sources:  All Star Charts, StockCharts.com

 

 

Although information herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not asserted. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment of the financial advisor as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.

Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or a loss. Diversification does not ensure a profit or ensure against a loss. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful.  Past performance is no assurance of future results.

Please consider the charges, risks, expenses and investment objectives carefully before investing. Please see a prospectus containing this and other information. Read it carefully before you invest or send money.

Information provided should not be construed as legal or tax advice.  You should discuss any tax or legal matter with the appropriate professional.

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